
Creative Leisure News
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Date:
March 5, 2001
Vol. V, No. 5
Printer
Version
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMMENTARY
Creative Leisure News is now offering a new, free service to
subscribers:
You've put up a website for your business, but in the back of your
mind you wonder how good it is. The designers who put it online are
proud of it, but like so many things with computer gurus, you take
their word for it because you don't know that much about computers.
Is your site effective? How do you really know?
Wouldn't you like to receive a knowledgeable -- confidential --
opinion about your site? What's good, what's bad, and how could it
be improved without costing a fortune? Now you can.
Creative Leisure News has made arrangements with Carlisle
Communications for Lynn Carlisle to go through your site and
give you a one-page, confidential appraisal of your site -- and
suggestions for improvement, if necessary.
She will do this for you, for free, if you are a paid subscriber to Creative
Leisure News.
Why Lynn Carlisle? Because she is one of the most knowledgeable
people in the industry regarding web sites. She was the webmaster
for Joann.com, the site for Jo-Ann Stores, before it
changed to a true e-commerce site under Idea Forest. She was
also the webmaster for CraftNetVillage, the original portal
site for our industry. To see her recent work, look at Duncan's
redesigned site, duncancrafts.com.
Lynn has already given me numerous suggestions for ways to improve CLN's
site. You'll be seeing some of those suggestions here soon.
If you'd like Lynn to take a confidential look at your site, just
call me at 309-925-5593, email me at mike@clnonline.com,
or Lynn directly at ljc@carlislecommunications.com.
A.C. MOORE: OPERATING PROFIT UP 32%
Sales for the year ended December 31 rose 18% to $262.1 million;
same-store sales rose 3%. Operating profit before pre-opening
expenses was $12.7 million, up 32%. Pre-opening costs were $1.9
million for the 10 new stores opened during the year. Net income was
$6.6 million ($0.88/share) compared to $5.7 million ($0.76) in 1999.
Operating profit for the quarter, before pre-opening expenses, was
$11 million, up 22%. Sales rose 18% to $93.2 million, but same-store
sales fell 0.5%.
President/CEO Jack Parker said in 2000 the company increased its
store count by 25% and implemented a new point-of-sale system.
"We feel comfortable with the guidance we provided previously
for the year 2001," Parker added. "We continue to project
earnings/share for the year of $1.08 to $1.10 and that for the first
quarter there will be a loss of $0.04 to $0.05. Already in the first
quarter of this year, we have opened new stores in Cary, NC;
Hyannis, MA; and Saratoga Springs, NY. These three new stores are in
line with our plans to open 10 to 14 new stores during the course of
the year."
To hear a conference call in which A.C. Moore officials discuss the
2000 results and 2001 plans, go to vcall.com.
THE AXE FALLS: FRANK'S IN CHAPTER
11
How quickly the mighty can fall. Frank's Nursery & Crafts,
once the most powerful craft chain in the industry, and its parent,
FNC Holdings Inc., filed for Chapter 11 in the U.S. bankruptcy court
in Baltimore on February 19th.
Frank's also obtained a $100 million debtor-in-possession financing
for a two-year period from a lending group led by Wells Fargo Retail
Finance, LLC. Frank's will also close approximately 24
under-performing stores.
Joseph Baczko, Chair/CEO of FNC Holdings, said, "During 2000,
adverse weather patterns negatively impacted lawn and garden sales
across most of our principal markets in the Midwest and Northeast.
What turned out to be a difficult lawn and garden season for us this
year was followed by poor comparative results in our Trim-A-Tree
holiday sales, which was consistent with the general softness in
sales at retailers during the Christmas period.
"In addition," Baczko added, "our planned program of
sales of 44 closed stores did not meet our expectations due, in
large part, to market conditions late last year. We intend to
continue to pursue these sales aggressively."
Until the early-mid 90's, the once publicly held company devoted a
substantial amount of its inventory to crafts.
Frank's operates 218 specialty retail stores in 15 states, primarily
in the Midwest and Northeast. In its fiscal year ending January 28,
2001, Frank's had sales of approximately $435 million with
approximately 1,650 full-time and 4,250 part-time employees.
In a letter to vendors, Baczko wrote, "The success of this
reorganization and the retention of our vendor relationships are our
top priorities. I know that the filing will cause hardships for many
of you. Unfortunately, bankruptcy law prohibits Frank's from making
payment now for goods and services received on or before the
February 19, 2001 filing date. Any such payment must await approval
of a plan of reorganization by the Bankruptcy Court. Again, I deeply
regret the hardship this may cause."
MICHAELS, JO-ANN'S REPORTS DUE SOON
We've seen the sales reports. But how about profits? The industry's
two largest chains will be issuing their earnings reports soon. Michaels
has already announced that profits were affected by consumers buying
Christmas goods late in January, when the discounts were the
largest. Jo-Ann's has the cost of its investment in IdeaForest,
the company now operating JoAnn.com.
Michaels will release its results this Wednesday and host a
conference call at 4 pm. CST. To participate in the call, dial
973-628-9554. To listen over the Internet, go to vcall.com
at least 15 minutes early to register, download, and install any
necessary audio software. Replays will be archived until Thursday,
March 15th at vcall.com or by
phone at 420-220-0469.
Jo-Ann's releases its annual and fourth-quarter results March 13.
Officials will hold a conference call to discuss the results the
same day at 10 am, EST. You can listen by going to joann.com
or streetevents.com. For
the JoAnn site, click on "About Jo-Ann," then
"Investor Relations" under the heading, "Our
Company," then click on the "Conference Call" icon.
If you can't make the live broadcast, the call will be archived on
both web sites.
WAL-MART: A TOUGH YEAR, BUT STILL A
RECORD
For the year ended January 31, net income increased 17.1% to a
record $6.295 billion ($1.40/diluted share) compared to $5.377
billion ($1.20/diluted share) a year ago. Net sales rose 15.9% to
$191.329 billion.
For the fourth quarter, the Wal-Mart Stores segment, including
Supercenters, saw operating profits rise only 1.5% to $2.765
billion, although sales rose 11.8% to $35.48 billion. Same-store
sales rose 3%, a smaller-than-usual number for Wal-Mart.
President/CEO Lee Scott said, "It was a good year but a year
that was not quite up to our high Wal-Mart expectations. In a
difficult economic environment, we will spend almost $9 billion in
capital expenditures and add approximately 8% to our retail square
footage."
The International segment led by John Menzer, former president of
the old Ben Franklin, had an operating profit of $1.112 billion, up
36.1%, for the year and up 8.9% for the quarter.
As of January 31st, the store count is 1,736 Wal-Mart stores, plus
2,000+ Supercenters, SAM'S Clubs, Neighborhood Markets and stores
around the world. The company now employs more than one million
people.
TRENDS IN WEB PAGE DESIGN
(Note: This is the first edition of Creative Leisure News'
new "trends" feature. In each issue we'll have an guest
expert focus on a product category, or trends in advertising,
retail, or business. This article on trends in web design was
written by Lynn Carlisle of Carlisle Communications.)
Ironically, one of the newest trends in global web design doesn't
sound very trendy: Simplify your site. Simplify? But isn't everyone
surfing faster now than ever? Doesn't everyone have the latest and
greatest browsers?
The answer is "yes". DSL (dedicated subscriber line),
cable modems, and ISDN (Integrated Services Digital Network) lines
are propelling suburban surfers faster than ever -- which is
precisely why you need to simplify your site.
As the speed with which folks can surf the net increases, their
patience level decreases. If they have to wait for a
charming-but-ambitious animation graphic to rotate, you can be sure
they are already clicking away to faster, simpler sites.
Good craft website designers should already be familiar with the
"simplify" mantra. While a handful of crafters are
"early adopters" of web technology, most of our online
visitors still don't know their own connection speeds. Our customer
associates plug-ins with air freshener and thinks a Java pop-up
window will be offering her coffee.
She doesn't like cookies (the byte, not the bite, kind) and is very
concerned about her privacy and credit card security. Plus, she is
often an AOL user, and many web goodies are not AOL-friendly. Our
online crafter is delighted with community but confused by too much
cross-linking. She wants inspiration; she doesn't want to get lost.
She wants a lot going on, but she doesn't want to feel overwhelmed
by your well-intended marketing.
In short, to reach our online crafting audience, a simple site can
accomplish more than a site that is more technically robust (read,
more complicated). While we web consultants brainstorm exciting ways
to make a site "sticky" (web-ese for drawing repeat
visits), true stickiness may lie in creating a simple, easy-to-use
site that is, well, comfortable, like a pair of old shoes. Like her
favorite craft store, your site should be a place where she knows
where to find everything and the door is always open.
The trick is to make her feel at home and surprise her at the same
time.
Web-tech innovations, periodic redesign, and creative navigation are
used effectively every day on craft sites. But before adding a new
gee-whiz feature or another level of navigation to your site, try to
evaluate each new tool's added value against its potential confusion
factor.
Sometimes simplicity is best. For your craft web site, it's always
best. -- Lynn Carlisle, Carlisle Communications, Inc.
(Comment: As we mentioned in our "Commentary," Lynn
has offered to provide paid CLN subscribers with a one-page,
confidential assessment of their sites -- free. Contact Lynn at ljc@carlislecommunications.com;
252-752-9426; fax: 252-752-9318.)
RANDOM NOTES, RANDOM THOUGHTS
1. Ever read something in Creative Leisure News and
think of a non-subscribing friend who'd enjoy a particular issue or
article? Now we've made it easier for you to pass the word. On our
main page you'll see a box in the upper lefthand column. Simply type
in your friend's email address, your own, and a very brief message.
The software automatically sends your friend your note and a link to
the CLN site. (Your friend will not be contacted again and we
don't keep a copy of his/her address.)
2. What a shame about Frank's. Actually, I gave up on
them a few years ago after a phone conversation with the guy who was
then the merchandising vp. There was a rumor floating through the
industry then that Frank's would drop "Crafts" from their
name.
I told him if it's not true he should tell me. If vendors think
Frank's is getting out of crafts, I explained, they won't show the
Frank's buyers their new products or give Frank's the best deal.
"Oh I don't care what the vendors think," he replied.
At that point I gave up on Frank's as a viable player in the craft
industry.
3. An old friend, Art Setterlund, has joined a Peoria,
Illinois printing/media company, Multi-Ad Services. Art's the
former Associate Publisher for Crafts, McCall's Needlework
& Crafts, and PCM. Art's very knowledgeable about our
marketplace. Multi-Ad offers imaging and print capabilities for
publishers, plus design and layout services, copywriting, website
and marketing content development, co-op revenue assistance, and
more. Multi-Ad has a solid reputation in the area, but I never
bothered to recommend the company until they had someone with
experience in our industry. Contact Art at 800-348-6485, ext. 5126,
or email asetterlund@multi-ad.com.
4. Lynn Carlisle's report on simple websites is right on the
money. About a year ago, when e-commerce sites were deluging the
industry, I did a simple test. I picked a particular color of Delta's
Ceramcoat paint and surfed to as many sites as I could find
to see how difficult it was to buy a bottle. The site that made it
the easiest to get to that color of paint was not one of the big
fancy sites, but paintinfools.com.
Oh, by the way, PaintinFools is still doing fine, after many
of the other sites have faded into cyber oblivion.
A simple site may mean a less costly site, one that requires fewer
sales to break even.
A PRODUCT DEVELOPER'S VIEW OF THE
HIA SHOW
We asked one of the industry's leading product developers for his
opinion of the recent show. His answer was far longer than we
usually print, but we thought it had a number of thought-provoking
comments. (Note: he was not involved in any of the products
mentioned below.)
CONSOLIDATION. Retailers continue to consolidate vendors,
making it difficult for the small manufacturer to break into the
market. The result to the industry is a loss of innovation provided
by these unknown manufacturers.
PRODUCTS. Basics are the focus. I see major investments in
good extensions and designs for proven lines. New, innovative
product (meaning new material, chemistry, technology, applicator, or
design area) was minimal.
CREATIVITY. However, I do not think this necessarily means
that development of innovative product is any less than historically
experienced; it's just not exhibited as often at the show. Growing a
category slowly is no longer a possibility. If you have a good
concept, you will be copied and the large retail accounts will even
ask other manufacturers to join the fray. This, despite the fact
that if your new product does not immediately result in significant
sales volume, it is pulled from large retailers.
These two factors result in large-line introductions only (versus a
small-line introduction with a growth plan), driving manufacturers
to adopt an extreme philosophy of requiring pre-sell commitments
prior to show exposure.
If the developer of a large line can not get a minimum of 1,500
stores to commit before the show, then he doesn't show it at the
show. Without this 1,500-store base, the show can only serve as a
place for sales to independent retailers and for a large line, it is
too expensive to manufacture for independent store distribution
only.
WORTH NOTING. Westwater's Spray Art -- fabric paint in
a mini-spray can. A fun, fast, easy line that can be built upon.
It's one of very few new-new products -- new paint formula in a new
applicator. The only question is whether it will be supported so it
can grow into a basic line, or will it be a flash in the pan.
American Art Clay's Genesis line is a sleeper. It's in
its 3rd year and people finally get it. It's a very revolutionary
product to hit the "fine art" area and, with proper
marketing, could be brought into the general craft area. And back to
the future: Friendly Plastic is benefiting from the wire/jewelry
uptrend. Good to see and well deserved.
Provo should win a Merchant of the Year award. Usually
offering a slight twist on proven basics, building a complete
merchandising vision for shelf management; then add credibility and
integrity of owner and you have one of fastest growing companies in
the industry.
NSI is a leader in tools over technique orientation to
crafting. Dynamic, easy-use tools make crafting a no-risk,
short-learning-curve process versus technique of skill required
crafts. The company stays in hottest categories (wearable, wire,
nails, etc.), crosses age ranges from kids to adult, and it's a
winner.
Delta appears to commit to a category and go for it. No
over-built lines, but good innovation and nice tight merchandising
which includes awareness, education, trial, and repeat. Add three
more Delta's to the industry and we would always have consistent
growth.
Reynolds is one of few big manufacturers to enter the craft
industry with their eyes open. Yes, Reynolds does mean
"materials" to the consumer, and that is what they have
introduced. Hopefully, they will either team with a device maker or
also create devices on their own. To make money on materials you
have a choice: create a hot use (technique) that is easy to
communicate, or a device that requires easy repetition and lots of
material to create the end result. Maybe they should talk to NSI.
SCRAPBOOKING. The customer base is keeping the small
manufacturers and small retailers in the best position they have
seen for a while. It's hard to create proprietary items that can not
be knocked off by someone willing to take short margins; that
problem will keep the big players out of the category. There will be
a move to smaller examples of memory projects -- you can only make
so many scrapbooks. Watch for frames, cards, wearables, etc.
WEARABLES. It's a slow build. Even with all the baggage from
the mid 1980's, it's rising from the ashes. In reality, it is the
perfect craft area -- low cost, low skill, high perceived value,
emotionally rewarding, good gift giving, broad age range,
disposable, multi-skill level. There will be more to come.
STITCHERY. Give a hand to family businesses -- Needle
Magic and Janlynn are sticking to it. There's some
innovation and broadening lines, but lots of good old basics.
Biggest twist is projects that are actually functional; I guess
vendors realized grandma can only fit so many unframed cross-stitch
squares in a hope chest and the generation X mom has enough stuff on
her walls, but enjoys sending a needlepoint card or stitching a
switch plate.
EDUCATION. The most under-committed area in the industry. It
can not be just books anymore. Merchandising must bring awareness,
education, and product to consumer at same moment of contact.
CONSUMERS. High Tech: still not quite ready to bloom
... Kids: Maybe someday retailers will realize kids crafts
are driven by the moms that buy them. Kids do not shop retail craft
stores. Mom buys for the occasion, not for the craft, per se. So if
the industry is ever to see kids crafts be significant, it will be
because of merchandising based on mom buying by the occasion and the
behavior, not by product innovation ... Teens: Another
doesn't-shop-in-craft-store issue. Focus on a teen design section
within a category.
SUMMARY. With almost no barriers to enter a category, an
industry size of over $6 billion (depends on whose numbers you
read), less than a handful of companies over $100 million in sales,
low investment for development, constant consumer appetite and
willingness to participate in multiple crafts simultaneously ---
shame on anyone who is not optimistic!
MISCELLANEOUS NEWS
ACQUISITION. DMD Industries acquired MPR Associates.
MPR remains in High Point, NC and will be a separate division of DMD.
MPR President John Melton remains with the company in an advisory
capacity. All shipping and customer service remain the same.
FEBRUARY. Hancock's sales rose 5% for the month ending Feb.
25.
SCRAPBOOKING. Other chains are finally waking up to the
consumer's interest in memory. Discount Store News reports a
new Super Target in Orlando has a 12-foot section, as does
the OfficeMax store in Anaheim. Hallmark is in the
act, of course, and even Bed, Bath & Beyond stores carry
a small selection.
ACQUISITION. Primedia purchased Creating Keepsakes
magazine. According to a press release, the Creating Keepsakes'
staff will remain in Bluffdale, Utah. Primedia is the New York-based
conglomerate that publishes Crafts, Craftrends, and
numerous other publications.
TV. HIA National Craft Month spokesperson Carol
Scheffler will appear on Wednesday's episode of The Rosie
O'Donnell Show and award Rosie with a Certified Professional
Demonstrator diploma.
ACCI. The officers for the Board of Directors include Chair
Ron LaRosa, Delta ... 1st Vice Chair Lynda Musante, Reynolds
... 2nd Vice Chair Tony LaSpada, Bemiss-Jason ... Treasurer
Steve Graham, Toner Plastics ... Secretary Bob Ferguson, Ferguson
Merchandising ... Past Chair Mike McCooey, Plaid.
PROJECTS. HIA is selling a packet of 23 project sheets
collected from its exhibitor sponsored workshop series at the HIA
2001 show. The cost is $15 for members, $20 for non-members. Call
Laura Perez at 201-794-1133 or email
lperez@hobby.org.
MEDIA. Excellent article, "The Healing Power of
Crafts", in the March 13th edition of Woman's Day. The
author quotes a number of women who have been helped, physically and
emotionally, by crafting.
PROTOTYPE. Rag Shops is planning a new, larger prototype
store, Discount Store News reported, to be unveiled in the
latter half of 2001.
TV. QVC's next all craft day is tomorrow, March 6th.
STOCK. In the March issue, Money magazine quotes the manager
of FPA Capital Fund as saying: "You rarely find a retail
concept with little competition. Michaels is the only
national retailer of arts and crafts supplies in the US. The concept
has great demographics, and the market is not overly saturated. With
more than 600 stores today, Michaels could have 1,000 outlets in
four years. Their sister chain of art-framing stores, Aaron Bros.,
is also growing rapidly. As the company achieves greater economies
of scale there's no reason that they can't get to double digit
operating margins. It's now trading at about $35, and we think that
in 3 to 5 years Michaels could be a $100 stock".
CRAYONS. Binney & Smith's revenue grew 4% last year,
according to a report from its corporate parent, Hallmark.
SHOWS. 1,400+ painters, and increase of 22%, are already
registered for the Society of Decorative Painters show in
Reno May 14-20. Call 316-269-9300 ... Sponsors of the National
Stationery Show May 20-23 in New York expect 18,000 buyers and
1,400 exhibitors. For details, go to nationalstationeryshow.com or
call 800-842-0028. A section will include 325 vendors of
scrapbooking, stamping, and craft supplies.
STOCK. Wedbush Morgan reiterated coverage of Michaels
at Buy.
RATINGS. Standard & Poor's lowered its rating on Ames'
senior unsecured debt to single-'B'-minus from single-'B'.
INTERNET & E-COMMERCE NEWS
BANKRUPTCY. eToys is
filing for bankruptcy and will shut down next week.
E-COMMERCE. CraftClick.com
sold substantially all of its assets to a group of California
entrepreneurs in exchange for the forgiveness of outstanding secured
loans made by them to CraftClick totaling $550,000, plus accrued
interest of $9,625 and a payment of $77,275 to substantially redeem
CraftClick's obligations. (Note: We were confused by the
press release, so we emailed the company for clarification, but did
not receive an answer by our deadline.)
DATA. A recent HIA survey at its consumer site ( I-craft.com)
reported that 96% of the 276 respondents said they sometimes or
always buy more than they'd planned to buy when visiting an industry
store -- strong evidence of the importance of impulse items and
in-store merchandising.
NEW. Staedtler's new web site is at staedtler-USA.com.
The new site provides descriptions and color photos of its products.
LAYOFFS. Walmart.com
will lay off 24 workers (10% of its workforce) and stop selling
low-priced apparel and cosmetics because shipping costs make them
illogical to buy online, the New York Times reported. CEO
Jeanne Jackson told the Times, "We're being very careful
not to spend in this environment on categories and ideas that aren't
working."
THE CREATIVE NETWORK: JOB OPENINGS
The only personnel recruitment firm specializing in our industry has
numerous job openings. Click on "Jobs" in the lefthand
column for the latest openings and the featured job of the month.
Call 360-834-0802; fax 360-834-0702; email
jessica@creativenetworkinc.com; or check
www.creativenetworkinc.com.
THE CLN RETAIL INDEX
A. C. Moore (ACMR). Last*: 8.31 ... Change**: -0.38
Ames (AMES). Last*: 4.09 ... Change**: +0.09
Hancock Fabrics (HKF). Last*: 6.80 ... Change**: +1.70
Jo-Ann Stores (JAS.A) [a]. Last*: 5.50 ... Change**: -0.05
Michaels (MIKE). Last*: 32.88 ... Change**: +1.07
Rag Shops (RAGS). Last*: 2.56 ... Change**: -0.06
Wal-Mart (WMT). Last*: 48.92 ... Change**: -3.44
CLN Retail Index. Last*: 109.06 ... Change**: -0.1%
Dow Jones Index. Last*: 10,466.310 ... Change**: -3.1%
*March 2 ** from February 16 [a] voting share Note: Prices are
exclusive of dividends
OBITUARY
It is with the saddest heart that Scott Phelps of Promotions
Unlimited passed this along:
Please join me in remembering a great icon -- the veteran Pillsbury
spokesman. The Pillsbury Doughboy died yesterday of a yeast
infection and complications from repeated pokes in the belly. He was
71. Doughboy was buried in a lightly greased coffin.
Dozens of celebrities paid their respects, including Mrs.
Butterworth, Hungry Jack, Betty Crocker, the Hostess Twinkies,
Captain Crunch, and the editor of Good Housekeeping.
The grave site was piled high with flours. Aunt Jemima delivered the
eulogy, describing Doughboy as a man who never knew how much he was
kneaded.
Doughboy rose quickly in show business, but his later life was
filled with turnovers. He was not considered a very smart cookie,
wasting much of his dough on half-baked schemes.
Doughboy is survived by his wife, Play Dough; two children, John
Dough and Jane Dough -- who incidentally, has a bun in the oven. He
is also survived by his elderly father, Pop Tart.
The funeral was held at 3:50 for about 20 minutes.
REMINDERS
1. If you want a hard-copy of this issue, and click on
"Printer Friendly version".
2. If your company is a paid subscriber, everyone in the main
office is welcome to register, free.
3. If you want to recommend CLN to a friend, use the
"Tell Your Friends" box on the home page.
4. Creative Leisure News is published on the first and
third Mondays of each month. Your next issue will be Monday, March
19th.
Have any rumors you need checked? Company news or comments on
industry issues? Call Mike Hartnett, in confidence, at 309-925-5593;
fax 309-925-9068; or email mike@clnonline.com.
xxx
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