
Creative Leisure News
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Date:
October 15, 2001
Vol. V, No. 20
Printer
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMMENTARY: OUR NEXT CHALLENGE
All reports indicate that the industry received a very positive
sales boost in September. Unfortunately, it was due to the
terrorists' attacks. Many industry pros I quoted in the previous
issue suggested that the war would inspire feelings of patriotism
and a return to simple basics, but most of us were surprised by how
quickly and strongly these feelings manifested themselves in our
stores.
Now the challenge becomes, can we maintain the momentum that started
last month? Can we continue to meet the consumers needs for familar,
stress-reducing, creative expression?
INDUSTRY SALES STRONG IN SEPTEMBER
It was a red, white, and blue month for many of our retailers. The
strong sales even caught the attention of the New York Times.
In their October 10th article, the reporters wrote, "Sewing
machines and batik pillows are in. So are Lego construction sets and
scrapbooks, along with bowling and brownies.... Americans are
seeking solace, it seems, in mundane and homey activities and
purchases."
The reporters cited independent retailer Judi Appel who operates The
Cotton Ball, a sewing/home dec store in Morro Bay, California.
Appel told the Times that customers began visiting the store
within hours of the attacks and by the end of the day, sales were
about one-third higher than usual.
"We are an industry people go to in times of trouble,"
Susan Brandt, HIA's Director of Communications/Asst. Exec.
Director told the Times. "They take solace in staying
busy and doing things with their hands."
Michaels was a shining example. Its same-store sales rose a
solid 10% and overall sales jumped 18% to $236.3 million. The
performance was so strong, officials raised their third quarter
earnings estimate three cents to $0.51/diluted share. (A replay of
officials' conference call with analysts is available until October
18. It can be accessed at www.thefirstnews.com,
or call 973-341-3080 and use pin #2765858.)
Hancock CEO Larry Kirk said sales were down the week of
September 11, but the company posted a solid same-store sales
increase of 7.1%.
A.C. Moore reported third-quarter same-store sales jumped 7%
and overall sales rose 25% to $76.2 million. Officials expect a 5-6%
increase in comp sales in the fourth quarter.
Jo-Ann's same-store sales rose 4% -- a year ago it was only
1.6%, and officials said only 2% of the overall sales of $155.6
million were due to the clearance sales that are part of the
company's ongoing "SKU Reduction Initiative".
Wal-Mart's same-store sales jumped 6.7%, much higher than
analysts expected,but other discounters' same-store sales figures
were disappointing. Target's 0.2% and Kmart's flat
sales were both below plan. ShopKo's comp sales fell 1.5% and
its Pamida division fell 2%. Duckwall-ALCO same-store
sales rose 3.1%, thanks in part, officials said, to sales of
notions.
Many other non-industry-related retailers such as high-end
department stores performed poorly. For example, Federated, whose
stores include Macy's and Bloomingdale's, reported overall sales
fell 15%.
SUCCEEDING IN A RECESSION
Companies often become ultra-conservative during national
recessions, thinking cost-cutting is the solution to the problems
they see on the horizon. Budgets for expansion, marketing,
advertising, product development, and salary increases are slashed
and layoffs are announced. Usually business declines, and the
beancounters say, "See? Good thing we cut our budgets!"
In fact, evidence indicates it's the other way around. Companies
that increase their market share during tough times usually maintain
that greater share when the economy revives. Why? When companies
become more aggressive, not less, their brand names are enhanced,
and customer service is better compared to cost-cutting competitors.
Consumers remember these things when the economy improves.
Wal-Mart, for example, is continuing with its plans to open
50 new discount stores, 180 Supercenters, more Sam's Clubs, and
15-20 new Neighborhood Market stores in this year alone. That's just
in the U.S. The company plans to add about 46 million sq. ft., an
overall increase of about 9% -- one of the largest expansion plans
in company history.
Reports from the Michaels vendor conference say the company
is continuing with its expansion plans.
Hmm. Maybe they know something the beancounters don't.
KNITTING/CROCHET EVENT A SUCCESS
The annual New York Knit-Out & Crochet was canceled, but
comparable events, sponsored by the Craft Yarn Council of America
and local guilds and retailers, were held throughout the country and
as far away as Belfast in Northern Ireland. A report from Mary
Colucci of CM Communications:
"I just returned from the Washington, D.C. Knit-Out &
Crochet and was very pleased with the support and participation.
A thousand people turned out on Sunday afternoon. The teaching tent
was very busy, as were the charity tables where volunteers were
working on projects for Warm Up America!, Linus Blankets,
Caps for Kids, and the Phoenix Project (squares for a
memorial afghan).
"The good news is that the locals and visitors are returning to
the National Mall and life is slowly resuming.
"Reports from West Coast retailers are that the Los Angeles Knit-Out
was mobbed. One attendance figure I heard was 8,000 people actually
stopped by the various tables and viewed the fashion shows. The
teaching areas were also very busy.
"There were 34 other Knit-Outs, as well as Knit-Outs
in Michaels stores during the week of September 23-30."
(Note: These events no doubt generated numerous newspaper
articles and local news reports. How much greater might the
industry's overall sales be if we had similar events for needlework,
painting, and other categories?)
MJ DESIGNS READY FOR GROWTH
The rejuvenated MJ Designs is positioned for growth,
according to a report in the Dallas Business Journal.
Preparing for growth has involved 1) Bringing in turnaround
specialist David Eisenberg, former CEO of People's Drug Stores, as
CEO. Former CEO Michael Best has moved to President/CFO. 2)
Moving to new offices and warehouse area. 3) Obtaining a new,
$12 million line of credit. 4) Increasing the ad program,
such as the recent newspaper insert for Halloween.
The store count has grown from eight to ten, and Eisenberg is
planning to open more stores in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area, telling
the Journal he thinks the area could support another 25-30
stores.
EMAIL: ARE WE
"RECESSION-PROOF"?
A note from an industry veteran who specializes in selling to
independents:
"In the past, independents in small and medium towns would
thrive somewhat in recessions, as the people tended to shop and stay
at home. I am not sure this is still valid, because prior to Desert
Storm, we didn't have a Wal-Mart everywhere. I suppose one
would have to categorize them as hometown' and that does take
business away from the local independent.
"As for the craft industry, this will be a real test. Business
was soft anyway. The emphasis on family and home during these times
should help, but now there are so many other home venues --
video/DVD movies, computers, video games, reading is on an upswing
-- that take away leisure time for crafting.
"Unfortunately, there will be some casualties in our industry.
The strong, those who stick to basics and what they have always done
right and well, will be the survivors -- AGAIN!!!"
IMPROVING NEEDLEWORK SALES
In my "Insider" column in the current (October) issue of CNA,
I got on my soapbox and suggested a number of things to improve the
state of needlework sales: Chains should introduce new products more
often and use madeups. The International Needlework Retailers
Guild (INRG) and The National Needlework Association (TNNA)
should merge. To generate publicity, manufacturers should join
forces to form their own version of the Craft Yarn Council of
America. Independents should be open to new types of products.
Designers, too, should expand their horizons and produce more than
the typical cute, sweet designs that are so prevalent. -- Finally,
everyone should support the effort to sue these nitwits who post
copyrighted projects on the Internet.
From a designer: "The designers DO offer the
manufacturers variety, often keying in on trends long before they
flood the market. However, it is the ultimate decision of the
manufacturers that determines the lines and designs you see. The
designers are also limited with the yarns and threads available from
that manufacturer.
"What I create in October, 2001 may not be introduced into the
market until 12-24 months later. It is frustrating to be on target
with what is coming, but unable to complete that vision because the
manufacturer doesn't carry chenille or metallic or eggplant yarn --
or doesn't have room in the line or budget to include the unusual.
And, by the time the design is introduced, you have probably seen
the images in textiles, stickers, stamps, etc.
"Another factor: most designers must work on speculation. I
might spend an entire month designing a new line or multiple new
designs. I am fortunate if one design is accepted per submission
cycle. And, it is considered incorrect to make simultaneous
submissions to several competitive manufacturers. We must also have
enough time to whip' out several full-color paintings to submit --
all done without any financial return during that time. -- Gail
Green. (Note: Gail is a member of the Society of Craft Designers
and the author of The Ultimate Rubber Stamping Technique Book
and Cat & Dog Lovers' Idea Book. She is also a columnist
for Stamping Arts & Crafts magazine.
From a designer: "The one comment I hear most is there
are so few, if any, embroidery kits other than counted cross stitch.
I have been looking for several months for a traditional sampler
that is not counted cross stitch and have been unable to find one.
My search encompassed three states. I prefer not to mail order as I
like to see what I am purchasing and I find delivery to be a
problem. Craft, sewing, and needlework stores are in short supply on
Long Island, New York; we are limited to Michaels, Jo-Ann's,
Pearl, and two local sewing chains. If retailers want to sell
more product, they need to carry product customers want to buy.
There is a definite demand for traditional embroidery that is not
being met." -- M. Friedberg
From an independent retailer: "Regarding adding new
products: I am always bringing in new items to the shop. I also
notice that after three months or so, charts do become rather stale.
If 80% of our sales comes from 20% of our customer base (and mine
certainly does), the last thing I want them to do is come in and see
the same old thing each time.
"Vendors requiring surcharges for special orders: I have now
made it a policy to incur that surcharge so that a customer won't go
somewhere else. However, wouldn't it be nice if vendors looked at an
order as an order, and perhaps more orders, if we could only get
what we want when we want it.
"Trade shows: I do often wonder what I may be missing by not
being able to attend the other trade shows.
"Bottom Line: The one thing that really disappoints me about
our industry is the complaining. We have to start looking at this
industry as a business, before there is no business for any of
us." -- Olga Morgan, Stitchcraft, Bellaire, Texas
(Note: Any suggestions about how to improve the industry's
needlework sales? Read the "Insider" column in CNA,
then email me or CNA's
editor, Karen Ancona. Your
thoughts can be on or off the record, as you wish.)
RANDOM NOTES, RANDOM THOUGHTS
1. Here's a novel way to help the New York recovery effort
and reward outstanding employees at the same time: Jack Wang,
President of Allstate Floral & Craft, reacted to Mayor
Giuliani by sending five employees and their spouses or companions
on a three-day, all expense paid vacation to New York City.
2. There is a free, online newsletter for retailers at www.retailernews.com
that offers excellent, if general, articles on retail management. I
recommend you sign up.
3. Tom Ware of Bagworks caught yet another example of
the national media's condescending attitude towards our industry:
"The Sept. 3rd issue of Business Week has an article on
Sam Wyly [Vice Chair of Michaels] and mentions the Wyly
family's chain of craft shops.' Craft SHOPS. Not stores, not a
600-store chain, not a $2 BILLION business, but SHOPS. Does our
industry have a PR problem, or what?"
This has been going on for years. Once, Forbes profiled
Michaels. It was a very positive article, but it had to use this
headline: "Wiggle Eyes, Anyone?"
4. Sometimes I just don't understand advertising. The best tv
commercial on the air these days is from Boeing. Great photography,
catchy music, good message. Ok, I'm sold. Now what? Am I supposed to
buy a jet?
5. In a recent issue I suggested scrapbook retailers work
with local hospitals to provide new mothers with a few basic
scrapbook materials. That inspired Jill Reed Siroty to write:
"I just read the latest issue of your newsletter ... my
lifeline' back to the industry while I'm on maternity leave from DMC.
Having just had a baby three weeks ago, I wanted to tell you that
your idea about including scrapbooking materials in gift bags given
to new moms is right on target. We have so many photos and things to
be put into a baby book that it's overwhelming. And I did leave the
hospital with quite a few free things in goody bags.
"Someone in the industry also ought to think about working with
a website like babycenter.com, or renting a mailing list from a
magazine or formula company."
6. A note from Gail Wenos: "The public schools in NYC
need our help. Their children have been traumatized by the events of
September 11, and their teachers have discovered that huggable Teddy
Bears are a source of comfort and security. In the past week over
1350 bears have been distributed with requests for 8,000 more -- and
more requests are coming in daily.
"Supplies in NYC have been depleted, so we are asking for the
help of friends. The distribution is being handled by the Community
Reformed Church in Manhassett, NY. Stuart Clark is the pastor. They
are asking for 10-14" HUGGABLE, squeezable Teddy Bears....they
can be sent to Community Reformed Church, Attn: Mary Clark, 90
Plandome Rd., Manhassett, NY 11030. For more information, call
516-365-4543."
MISCELLANEOUS NEWS
SEASONAL. A study sponsored by the National Retail Federation
says consumers will spend $6.9 billion on Halloween, Chain Store
Age reported. More than half of those surveyed said they plan to
decorate their homes for the occasion ... We have heard wildly
conflicting reports of U.S. buyers keeping/canceling their
appointments overseas.
FRANK'S. The board of directors named Steven Fishman CEO and
a member of the board. Fishman, 50, was President of SSF Resources,
an investment and consulting firm. Before founding SSF Resources,
Fishman was Chair/CEO of Pamida, which was acquired by Shopko
in 1999. He had also worked for Caldor, and other retailers. Frank's
filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in February.
ACQUISITION. Rose Art Industries purchased Western
Graphics from Mead Corp. Rose Art is the second largest
crayon manufacturer and Western Graphics, based in Eugene, Oregon,
distributes coloring products, including its Fuzzy Poster
line. Terms weren't disclosed.
TV. Craft, Home & Style begins taping the next
series this Saturday at the Tall Mouse store in Cerritos,
California. The series airs on The Hallmark Channel. Producer/host
Tiffany Windsor has planned a day-long event including
make-it/take-its with American Art Clay, Yaley, Plaid,
Decoart, and Royal Brush. Audience and store visitors
have been encouraged to bring an angel ornament to support The
Angel Project. In December, angels will be hand-delivered by Clapper
Communications staff members, organizers of the Project,
to New York City for a special Angel Project memorial
service. Contact Tiffany for
more info.
ROLODEX. DMD Industries: 2300 S. Old Missouri Rd.,
Springdale, AR 72764. Call 800-805-9890 or 501-750-8929; fax
501-750-8937.
SHOWS. Organizers and exhibitors of the recent Home Sewing
Assn. show assumed it would be a poor show, thinking attendance
would be hurt by the fear of air travel. One industry veteran said,
"No one was expecting it to be great and the comments I heard
was that it was better than most thought it would be. The customers
who did come were our strongest customers with the longest history
with the show and its exhibitors. I'm glad we decided to go ahead
and hold it."
SHOWS. Officials have decided that the National School
Supply Equipment Assn. show will be held. It's November 1-3 in
Charlotte. Call 800-395-5550 ext. 30; fax 301-495-3330; email nssea@nssea.org.
PEOPLE. Jim Neustadt has resigned as Marketing VP for Michaels
... Teri Daniels, formerly the community education team leader at
the Jo-Ann etc store in Nyack, NY, has joined HIA as
Manager, Certification & Education ... Larry Gottlieb is VP of
Sales & Marketing for Allstate Floral & Craft.
LEARNING. The academic value of project-based, hands-on craft
activities in the classroom will be measured in a new study
sponsored by the Hobby Industry Assn. The project will assess
the educational value of learning involving project-based, hands-on
craft activities on selected subjects in the core elementary (K-5)
curriculum. The primary question is to determine if, as expected,
hands-on craft activities enhance learning skills and attitudes.
Teachers and students from a cross section of the U.S. will
participate. Evaluation will follow accepted psychometric practices
and include pre- and post-tests that measure problem-solving
responses. The study will be conducted during the last quarter of
2001 and results published in early 2002.
AWARD. Mary Frances Sherlock of MagEyes (formerly MFD
Enterprises) was named the 2001 Small Business Person of the Year
by the San Antonio district of the Small Business Administration and
Business Person of the Year by the Kerrville, Texas Chamber
of Commerce. She got the idea for a hands-free, head mounted, dual
lens magnifier at her dentist's office when she saw him use an
expensive medical magnifier. She started the business in 1992,
received her first patent in 1995, and has grown from there --
selling more than 90,000 magnifiers in 1999.
CONGRATS. To Martingale & Co., celebrating 25
years as a top book publisher. The company, originally named That
Patchwork Place, has published more than 350 titles, which have sold
more than 10 million copies.
MEDIA. A recent edition of REAL SIMPLE magazine
contained an article by a writer who wrote about how needlepoint had
become an important part of her life, including feeling closer to
her daughters.
HIA. Trend analyst Faith Popcorn will be the keynote speaker
again at the Hobby Industry Assn. show in January ... HIA has chosen
a Mardi Gras theme for the annual awards banquet on January 29. The
dress is casual and attendees are encouraged to wear masks.
TV. The 13th series of America Sews with Sue Hausmann
has been uplinked to PBS stations. Sponsors include Viking,
Jo-Ann's, Sulky, Krause Publications, Rowenta, the American Sewing
Guild, Taunton Press, The Warm Co., Sew/Fit, Cactus Punch, David
Textiles, Fairfield, Havel's, and Unique ... A new PBS quilt series,
Quilt Central, is in the works. It will be co-hosted by Donna
Wilder and Jane Donaldson, and uplinked to PBS stations in January.
QUILTING. Blumenthal Lansing, along with Freespirit Fabric,
Sulky, Viking, and Fairfield, are sponsoring a
quilt contest, "Button It On Seasonal Wall Quilt."
Contestants will be given the pattern for an outer framework for the
quilt designed by well-known designer Marinda Stewart, and are
challenged to create an inner "button-on" panel in a
Spring, Summer, Fall, or Winter theme using products from the
sponsoring companies. Entries will be accepted until August, 2002
and winners will be announced at Quilt Market 2002. Prizes
include cash and products from the sponsors. Judges include an
editor from American Patchwork and Quilting magazine and
other quilt industry pros. For rules and info, visit www.buttonsplus.com,
www.freespiritfabric.com,
www.sulky.com, www.husqvarnaviking.com,
and www.fairfieldprocessing.com.
2002 REMINDERS. The ACCI show is July 19-21 Rosemont
(Chicago) with education beginning July 18. If exhibitors at the
2001 show return their 2002 contracts by November 1, they avoid
increases in booth prices. Email: acci.show@offinger.com;
visit www.accicrafts.org.
... The 27th Society of Craft Designers Educational
Seminar is September 25--28 in Schaumburg (Chicago). The theme
is "Designing For The Ages" with an emphasis on crafting
for kids to seniors and also classic crafts revived by new
technology. Email: scd@offinger.com;
visit www.craftdesigners.org.
For both ACCI and SCD, call 740-452-4541.
A COPYRIGHT VIOLATOR: IN HER OWN
WORDS
Needlework designer/publisher Linn Skinner (www.skinnersisters.com)
forwarded this note she found on a Yahoo club that trades
copyrighted patterns. It's a good indication of the scope of the
infringement problem. (Note: normally I correct typos,
misspellings, etc., but doing so this time would give you the
impression that this Nicole is smarter than she is. So here's her
note, as is.)
"We all know what sholes trolls are, right? People who have no
life so they like to destroy other's lives. Alot of people are
worried that they will cause the end of these groups. Let's take a
look at this, shall we?
"First, Yahoo cant shut down just plastic canvas clubs and
groups, they would have to go after all craft groups. There are tens
of thousands of crafters of all types here at Yahoo. From
needlecrafts, to scrap booking to woodcrafts there are too many for
Yahoo to shut down. Why? First of all they dont want us all to get
ticked with them and stop using Yahoo all together. Why? Yahoo is a
free service, relying on profits from advertisers. If Yahoo looses
thousands of people they will loose theyre sponsors. Free sites can
not survive without sponsors.
"Secondly, the troll-holes can go and cry to the designers all
they want, but they cant stop us. Why? There are too many of us.
They can't catch us all. have you seen any Napster users go to jail?
Of course not. Why? Record executives know taht if they go after the
fans, the fans will boycott, as will crafters. If the designers go
after us, then we simply boycott and they lose BIG. I just wonder
what percentage of online crafters are theyre customers...at least
50%. If they lose 50% of theyre customers, they are in big financial
trouble.
"Besides, if Yahoo shuts us down, (which I can almost swear
they wont) there are plenty of ways to share patterns.
"So the moral of the story is,the troll-holes will not win,
there are more of us them of them, so dont sweat it. Hugs,
Nicole"
THE CREATIVE NETWORK: JOB OPENINGS
To see a sampling of the current job openings and to contact The
Creative Network, click on the "Jobs" button in the left
hand column.
THE CLN RETAIL INDEX
A. C. Moore (ACMR). Last*: 16.98 ... Change**: +1.03
Ames (AMES). Last*: .0.18 ... Change**: +0.08
Hancock Fabrics (HKF). Last*: 9.10 ... Change**: +0.90
Jo-Ann Stores (JAS.A) [a]. Last*: 4.48 ... Change**: -0.92
Michaels (MIKE). Last*: 46.39 ... Change**: +9.85
Rag Shops (RAGS). Last*: 2.23 ... Change**: +0.11
Wal-Mart (WMT). Last*: 52.90 ... Change**: +3.40
CLN Retail Index. Last*: 132.26 ... Change**: +12.3%
Dow Jones Index. Last*: 9344.10 ... Change**: +5.6%
*October 12 ** from September 28 [a] voting share Note: Prices are
exclusive of dividends
THE BIN LADEN SOLUTION
Email from a friend:
"Killing him will only create a martyr. Holding him prisoner
will inspire comrades to take hostages to demand his release.
Therefore, I suggest we do neither.
"Let the Special Forces, Seals, or whatever covertly capture
him, fly him to an undisclosed hospital, and have surgeons quickly
perform a complete sex change operation. Then we return her to
Afghanistan to live as a woman under the Taliban.
"I guess then he'd be Omama Bin Laden."
REMINDERS
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check the site and provide a confidential assessment and suggestions
for improvement. Just email mike@clnonline.com
or ljc@carlislecommunications.com.
2. If you want a hard-copy of this issue, click on
"Printer Friendly version".
3. If your company is a paid subscriber, everyone in the main
office is welcome to register, free.
4. If you want to recommend CLN to a friend, use the
"Tell Your Friends" box on the home page.
5. Creative Leisure News is published on the first and
third Mondays of each month. Because October has five Mondays, your
next issue will be in three weeks, on Monday, November 5th.
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