
Creative Leisure News
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Phone: 309-925-5593
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Email: mike@clnonline.com

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Date:
March 18, 2002
Vol. VI, No. 6
Printer
Version
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMMENTARY: SUCCESS CAN BE
DANGEROUS
I was happy to hear that Jo-Ann's is not planning to open
more stores next year (see below). While the company's
fourth-quarter report shows the turnaround strategies are working,
officials obviously realize more work needs to be done before
setting out to conquer new territory.
A few years ago, A.C. Moore seemed to be doing just fine, but
CEO Jack Parker put a six-month hold on new-store expansion. Wall
Street was temporarily puzzled, but A.C. Moore has performed even
better ever since.
When Michael Rouleau took charge at Michaels, he concentrated
on strengthening the company's financial and internal systems. The
company's been going gangbusters ever since.
Hancock is more concerned with incorporating its home-dec
center into existing stores rather than opening stores to dazzle
Wall Street.
The president of a major manufacturing company recently told me that
he called off preliminary discussions to acquire two companies.
Apparently the companies could have been purchased for a great
price, "but my people are already working at full
capacity," he said. "These deals could have killed
us."
There's a lesson here for all of us: make sure your house is in
order before any major expansion. Often people (including Wall
Street) equate expansion with success, but over the years I've seen
as many companies killed by too much success too soon, as by
failure..
JO-ANN'S MAKES GOOD ON PROMISES
As promised by Jo-Ann's officials, the fourth-quarter results
indicate the company has turned the corner. For the quarter ended
Feb. 2, net income, excluding unusual charges from both years,
jumped 74% to $23 million ($1.22/diluted share). Excluding a 53rd
week the previous year, sales increased 5.2% and same-store sales
were up 7.4%. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization (EBITDA) improved to 11% from 7.9% of sales.
For the year, sales rose 5.9% to $1.57 billion. Excluding fiscal
2001's 53rd week, sales increased 7.5% and same-store sales
increased 5.9%. EBITDA fell to 4.8% from 5.8% of sales. Excluding
one-time charges, net income fell from $0.63/share to 10 cents --
not unexpected, given the company's turnaround efforts during the
first three quarters.
Chair/CEO Alan Rosskamm said, "We made substantial progress on
our key turnaround initiatives of improving inventory in-stocks,
eliminating non-productive inventory, and eliminating
under-performing stores. Particularly satisfying was our ability to
deliver the fourth quarter operating results, while still exceeding
our balance sheet goals on inventory and debt reduction.
"The charges associated with our turnaround plan are now behind
us," Rosskamm added, "and we are well positioned to return
to meaningful profit growth in the new fiscal year. We remain
committed to further reducing debt and improving overall performance
in fiscal 2003."
During the year the company opened 12 Jo-Ann etc superstores,
relocated 10 traditional stores, and closed 60 under-performing
traditional stores.
Officials said this year they expected same-store sales growth of
3-4% (higher in the first quarter, then less as the current figures
are compared to the SKU Reduction Initiative the company enacted
last year). Margins should improve, too, since the company won't be
engaging in closing out about $60 million discontinued merchandise.
Another 50 stores will close this year. No new stores are planned,
so capital spending will drop to $15-20 million. Instead, the
company will focus on debt reduction and expects to lower its debt
by $30-$40 million this year. That will lower interest expense by $2
million. The bottom line: officials expect profits of $0.80-$0.85
cents/share this year, a huge increase over this past year's 10
cents/share result.
The new year is off to a strong start, too. February same-store
sales increased 14.7% and the stock price has almost doubled since
January 1..
MICHAELS CONTINUES TO ROLL
As expected, Michaels had a great year. Net income was $89.0 million
($1.33/diluted share). Excluding the effects of one-time charges,
net income was $100.7 million, an increase of 25%. Annual sales rose
13% to $2.531 billion, and same-store sales increased 5%.
For the fourth quarter, net income was $63.6 million ($.92),
compared to $50.1 million ($.76) the previous year. Without the one-
time charges, net income would have been $66.5 million, up 33%.
Quarterly sales increased 11% to $908.0 million, with same-store
sales up 6%.
CEO Michael Rouleau said, "We are proud of this performance and
remain very optimistic about our future. The investments we've made
in our infrastructure over the last few years are just starting to
pay off, and we expect them to support our momentum."
As part of the HIA-sponsored National Craft Month,
Michaels is hosting a "Free Family Event" at each of its
700+ stores this Saturday from 10 am to noon and from 1 pm to 3 pm.
The "Event" will feature "Giant Jungle Bug"
projects, intended to introduce families to the fun and closeness
hands-on crafting provides. Store personnel would teach the projects
and supply all of the materials, free..
HIA WAITS FOR COURT ACTION
Little has changed since we reported on at least some of the Hobby
Industry Association's $2.4 million in reserve assets being
frozen by the courts. The court-appointed trustee submitted a report
on the financial assets of Bentley Financial Services on March 7th,
but the court has not yet released the document.
As we reported in previous issues, HIA officials say they have
enough money to continue all member programs through 2002 and
beyond. The HIA money in question is reserves only; ongoing
operations are funded by dues, trade show fees, etc.
To recap, reserves were invested through a company called Bentley
Financial Services. There is a web site devoted to the investigation
at http://www.bfscorp.net/default.asp?S=7952.
On October 23, 2001, the Securities and Exchange Commission filed a
complaint against a Robert Bentley, Entrust Group, and Bentley
Financial Services, all of Paoli, PA. The SEC asked the court for an
injunction freezing Bentley's assets and stopping the company from
further business, which the court subsequently granted.
In the summary of the complaint, the SEC charges, among other
things, the following:
"1. The defendants are engaged in a fraudulent scheme to offer
and sell privately issued notes which they falsely claim are bank
issued certificates of deposit ( CD's') or interests in such CD's
which are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. ( FDIC').
Defendants' investors include numerous small banks, credit unions,
and individual investors. Defendants' records show that they have,
as of mid-September 2001, at least $318 million of such notes
outstanding which have been issued to more than 3,000 investors.
Defendants claim to have "invested" more than $4 billion
of investor funds since their scheme began in approximately 1986.
"2. Defendants are conducting a fraudulent scheme because
investors can obtain a return of their principal investment at the
promised maturity date only if defendants are able to find
additional investors."
Essentially, the SEC is charging Bentley with taking investors'
money and buying certificates of deposit with longer maturation
dates and higher interest amounts than they were telling investors.
The scheme would work like this: An unsuspecting investor thinks
he's buying a $1,000, one-year CD that pays 5%. But Bentley buys a
two-year CD that pays 6%. As long as Bentley has the $1,050 on hand
to pay off the investor a year later, Bentley can eventually pocket
the higher interest payment.
In some aspects the case is like a bankruptcy proceeding. HIA
officials, like bankruptcy creditors, don't know specifics until the
court proceedings are concluded.
CNA requested an interview with Bill Reed, president of the
HIA Board of Directors, who responded with a letter which said, in
part, "HIA has provided you, and its membership, at the Annual
Meeting on January 29th with the most up-to-date information we
have. We are in a holding pattern until a recovery date is known,
which may precede your May publication date. We will provide you and
the HIA membership with the most current data as it arrives.
Therefore, we see no need for an interview at this time."
(Note: If you're wondering why HIA has money in reserve,
imagine if the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks had occurred two days
before the HIA trade show.).
17 WAYS TO MAXIMIZE YOUR TRADE SHOW
INVESTMENT
Yes, it's not that long since you've returned from the January
shows, but the summer shows will be here before you know it.
Considering how much it costs to exhibit at trade shows, it makes
sense to get the most out of them. Some suggestions -- in more or
less chronological order:
1. Trade Magazines, I. CNA and Craftrends will
run new product editorial sections in conjunction with their trade
show issues. The deadline for their July issues (ACCI and INRG)
is probably early to mid May. Learn the deadlines and send press
releases and photos.
2. Trade Magazines, II. Consider advertising, at least in the
show issues. Both show attendees and non-attendees will study those
issues to see if they missed anything.
3. Creative Leisure News. If you can't get new product
info to the trade magazines in time for their deadlines, send it
here. As we did in January, we'll publish product information.
4. Appointments. Are there some key buyers you want to see?
Call them in advance to determine a specific time for them to visit
your booth. Do the same with magazine editors.
5. Staff Training. Make certain all your booth personnel know
how to use your products, who makes the products used in conjunction
with yours, freight policies, availability for immediate shipping,
etc.
6. Postcards. Send them to every buyer on your list. List
your booth number, any show specials, and tease them about new
products. And some trade shows (ACCI, for one) offer the buyer
pre-registration lists about three weeks in advance of the show.
Most shows offer free, unlimited quantities of stickers and stuffers
to use to promote show attendance. Call each show's sponsor to see
what's available.
7. Madeups. Planning on the same, tired old madeups? Get some
new ones -- particularly showing your existing products used in new
ways.
8. Press Room. Many trade shows (ACCI and HIA, for examples)
will have a press room where journalists can pick up copies of
exhibitors' press releases. Take advantage of this service -- don't
assume every magazine will stop by your booth.
9. New Product Areas. Most shows now have a new-product
display area, usually somewhere near the buyer registration area.
Virtually every buyer looks at that display first.
10. Interactive Zones. ACCI is offering a variety of ways to
give your products exposure outside your booth. Details will be sent
to exhibitors soon, but as we described in our previous issue,
exhibitors can sponsor a demonstration, distribute project sheets,
and display projects. If this concept is successful, look for other
shows to adapt it to their needs.
11. Demos, Make-it/Take-its. They attract crowds, and crowds
pique the curiosity of buyers passing by. (Note: Retailers
are happy just watching a knowledgeable demonstrator show how a
product is used. If you don't sell to Professional Crafters, use a
demonstrator rather than sponsor a make-it/take-it.)
12. Show Specials. If you want to encourage buyers to place
orders at the show (and who doesn't?), offer a discount of some sort
for immediate orders. And make certain you have signs big/clear
enough that explain the specials to buyers in the aisle.
13. Sponsorships. Many shows offer opportunities to put your
company logo on badge lanyards, bus signage, etc. Call the show
sponsor and see what's available.
14. Shipping. At summer shows many buyers -- large and small
-- are looking for items to complete their fall/Christmas inventory.
Some still need to complete their back-to-school offerings. If you
have items/lines in stock, place signs saying "Ready For
Immediate Shipping" next to the items.
15. Distributors. Print copies of a list of all of your
distributors to distribute to either all of your buyers or at least
to those who can't order your minimums.
16. During the Show. Take careful notes of what you've
promised prospective buyers!
17. Show Follow-up. Many buyers no longer place orders at
shows. The value of your ultimate show investment will probably be
determined by what you do after the show..
IN DEFENSE OF CHAIN BUYERS
Here are excerpts from a letter to The Bloom Report, the
excellent, free, online business newsletter for the toy industry.
(For more information, to go www.thebloomreport.com.)
This letter is from a chain buyer, responding to complaints from
vendors about the difficulty of getting an appointment with many
buyers.
"I've been a buyer and merchandise manager for 20 years and the
job has changed dramatically. It USED TO be a job where you spent
your time seeking unique vendors and the best products. It has
developed into a job of managing vendor programs and managing to
computer systems.
"Retailers have cut back dramatically on the people managing
and buying over the last 20 years. This is a direct result of the
price competitive nature of business now. The upshot is that people
have too much to manage and not enough time to manage it.
"There is a ridiculous amount of time pressure. Does this mean
good products are passed up by these buyers? Yes, but the
conscientious ones don't like it; they just can't do anything to
prevent it.
"The best thing to do, if you're passed up, is get your product
in as many doors as possible. When it's a craze in all the specialty
retailers, the large retailers will see you at the next show."
-- Name withheld.
RANDOM NOTES, RANDOM THOUGHTS
1. Recently I've been corresponding with Joan Pomp, who
retired from AMACO and is now living in Florida. Joan is involved
with an Alzheimer's "respite" program coordinated by the
Alzheimer's Association and the National Alliance of Churches.
It's a great program in which volunteers go into homes that have an
Alzheimer's patient and relieve the care giver for a few hours. My
mother had Alzheimer's and lived with us for four years. Trust me, a
few hours of relief to go to the store or just relax is a godsend.
Anyway, Joan is looking for suggestions for simple craft projects
she can teach to the Alzheimer's patients she "sits" with.
Obviously it depends on the severity of the disease, but for
patients in the early and perhaps middle stages, craft projects
would be wonderful.
But which crafts? Joan had already thought of rubber stamps; I
suggested low-count plastic canvas. If appropriate photographs are
available, basic scrapbooking would be wonderful. (Often the
patients' long-term memory is much better than their short-term
memory.)
Any suggestions on craft categories or particular projects? Let me
know and I'll pass them along -- or contact Joan directly. Joan
Pomp, 3770 Hickory Hill Blvd., Titusville, FL 32780. Call/fax
321-264-2398; or email nutcrack@bv.net.
2. In my last issue I described a "new" size of
instruction book -- 10.5" x 4", which allows retailers to
display the books immediately adjacent to the appropriate products.
Turns out it's not as new as I thought. Jean Kievlan has written a
series of books this size called Designer Sketchbook for Lara's
Crafts . There are at least five in the line..
MISCELLANEOUS NEWS
FRANK'S. The bankruptcy approved Frank's disclosure statement
for its reorganization plan. Now Frank's will solicit votes from
creditors and equity holders for their approval of the plan. The
court scheduled a confirmation hearing on May 1. The revised
disclosure statement will be available tomorrow on Frank's website
at www.franks.com.
FEBRUARY SALES. Once again the same-store sales figures for
industry related retailers generally outperformed the overall retail
industry. Jo-Ann's , +14.7% ... Wal-Mart, +10.3% ... Duckwall-ALCO,
+8.5% ... Target, +8.5% ... Hancock, +6.3%, thanks in
part to home dec categories, officials said ... Michaels,
+6.0%.
AMES. The top execs from the bankrupt chain met with their
creditors' committee and reported the following: 2001 sales were
$3.19 billion; 2002 sales are expected to decrease by 5%, thanks to
fewer stores. Execs also expect to benefit from Kmart store
closings.
MACRAME. In our last issue we mentioned Lucky, a
high-circulation magazine for fashion shopping, featured macrame.
Now we've learned the current issue of Bazaar is featuring a
macrame belt, purse, and headband. Yarn has made a comeback by
appealing to younger women's fashion sense -- why not macrame?
JOB OPENING. Manufacturer looking for two Product Managers
with design experience -- one for die cut paper/foam products in
general crafts and scrapbooking, and one for rubber stamps. Location
not an issue. Email resumes in confidence to CLN's Mike
Hartnett and they will be forwarded to the employer.
PAINTING. The brush wars have a new combatant -- the Sceptre
Gold II line from Winsor & Newton is a
sable-synthetic blend. The line of watercolor and oil brushes
includes long and short handle brushes in round, designer round,
rigger, flat, flat wash, wash, and fan series, from size 0000 to
size 20. Available now, the suggested retail prices range from $5.10
for individual brushes to $31.60 for presentation sets.
DISTRIBUTION. Jo-Ann's has implemented the Exceed
distribution software system from EXE Techologies at its Visalia,
California warehouse, and plans to do the same later this year at
the Hudson, Ohio warehouse. "... using the EXE solution, we
were able to save on freight costs as well as drop 1-2 weeks off the
lead-time of getting products from our distribution centers to our
stores," said VP of Systems Development Tim Lemieux.
SEWING. America Sews with Sue Hausmann rolls on. The
14th series uplinks to PBS stations April 7. Sponsors include
Viking, Jo-Ann's, Sulky, The Warm Co., American Sewing Guild, Gadget
Girls, Havel's, Katie Lane Quilts, Krause Publications, Ott Lite,
Quilt Smart, Rowenta, Sudberry, and Taunton Press.
WINNER. Plaid awarded Cindy Rippe the $3,000 Horizons
Award for the Society of Craft Designers member
"exhibiting the strongest combination of personal development
goals and history of past achievements." Cindy is best known as
the designer of the home office and computer accessories, Computer
Cozies.
SHOWS. ACCI has scheduled six retailer business seminars on
Thursday, July 18, the day before the trade show opens in Rosemont,
IL. The entire day of sessions will be offered at a discount, or
tickets can be purchased individually. Retailers who purchase for
the entire day will get a private preview of the new products at a
"Product Premiere Party" that evening with free food,
drink, and dancing. The titles: "Retail Success! Increase
Sales, Maximize Profits, and Wow Your Customers" ...
"Distinguish Ability: A Business Building Strategy for
Retailers" ... "How to Increase Your Business by 25% --
Starting Now!" ... "Million $ Marketing on a Shoestring
Budget" ... "X-Citing and Unique Promotions that Drive
Traffic" ... "Seeing Through Your Customers' Eyes".
For show/seminar info, call 888-360-2224; email acci.info@offinger.com;
or visit www.accicrafts.org.
QUOTATION. "Between 8 - 12, boys and girls are spending
big money on the latest food, music ... and gadgets. The age of the
tweenager' is here." -- London Financial Times.
THE CREATIVE NETWORK: JOB OPENINGS
To see a sampling of the current job openings and to contact The
Creative Network, click on the "Jobs" button in the left
hand column.
THE CLN RETAIL INDEX
A. C. Moore (ACMR). Last*: 37.10 ... Change**: +4.09
Ames (AMES). Last*: 0.15 ... Change**: -0.01
Hancock Fabrics (HKF). Last*: 17.91 ... Change**: +0.10
Jo-Ann Stores (JAS.A) [a]. Last*: 13.45 ... Change**: -0.90
Michaels (MIK). Last*: 38.50 ... Change**: +6.22
Rag Shops (RAGS). Last*: 4.03 ... Change**: +0.01
Wal-Mart (WMT). Last*: 63.75 ... Change**: +0.94
CLN Retail Index. Last*: 174.891 ... Change**: +6.4%
Dow Jones Index. Last*: 10,607.23 ... Change**: +2.3%
*March 15 ** from February 15 [a] voting share Prices are
exclusive of dividends.
HELPING OUR TROOPS
Last November, T.SGT. Dora McFadyen, deployed overseas in Operation
Enduring Freedom as a member of the Tennessee Air National Guard,
wrote to Candamar Designs requesting extra floss to complete
a project she was stitching. She also mentioned that several others
in her troop enjoyed Candamar's products and still more would like
to try them.
Candamar responded by sending floss, several dozen kits, and a
special "Thank You" card applauding the troops' efforts.
Then Candamar received this:
"To the Thoughtful People at Candamar Designs,
"I wanted to take a moment and thank you all for the beautiful
card and box of goodies. I shared them with the troops and I've even
got some of the guys cross-stitching. We've been able to pass many
long shifts much easier thanks to you all, it is people and
companies like you that make our country so great and worth fighting
for. Again thank you from the bottom of my heart.
"The enthusiasm and support your employees and company have
displayed is truly a symbol of great patriotism and was truly
appreciated not only by the troops, but also by our families back
home. I know when I told my mother how generous and supportive you
all were, she cried.
"So I just wanted you all to know that while it may have seemed
like a small gesture of kindness to you at the time, it means so
much more to all of us to know the American people are behind us and
willing to support us during this great effort."
(Note: there's a great photograph of McFadyen and three
comrades posted on the Candamar website at http://www.candamar.com/troops.html.)
A Candamar official said, "This meant a great deal more to them
than we anticipated. A small gesture on our part gave them something
to work on and perhaps divert their thoughts while they are missing
their families back home.
"Just a thought but we (the industry) could all do something
similar to help.".
REMINDERS
1. Paid subscribers are invited to have their website
evaluated by Lynn Carlisle of Carlisle Communications. She'll
check the site and provide a confidential assessment and suggestions
for improvement. Just email mike@clnonline.com
or ljc@carlislecommunications.com.
2. If you want a hard-copy of this issue, click on
"Printer Friendly version".
3. If your company is a paid subscriber, everyone in the main
office is welcome to register, free.
4. If you want to recommend CLN to a friend, use the
"Tell Your Friends" box on the home page.
5. Creative Leisure News is published on the first and
third Mondays of each month. Your next issue will be Monday, April
1st. Will it be an April Fool's edition? We'll see.
xxx |
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